3. January 2026 Sanctions Against Japan (Specific Application)
The controlled items listed above have been converted into "practical weapons" amid recent geopolitical tensions. Following the rapid deterioration of Sino-Japanese diplomatic relations, China has implemented measures aimed at restricting access to critical material supply chains in which it maintains a dominant market position as a reciprocal countermeasure.
Key provisions of the MOFCOM & GACC Notice No. 1 of 2026, effective immediately on January 6, include:
A. Total Ban on Exports to the Japanese Military Sector
China prohibits the export of all items listed in the "Dual-Use Items and Technology Export License Management Catalogue" to Japanese military end-users or for military end-uses. This is a comprehensive measure covering not only direct weaponry but also all advanced civilian materials, parts, and technologies that could contribute to Japan’s military capabilities.
B. Catch-All Control on Non-Listed Items
Even for items not explicitly listed, exports are prohibited if the exporter knows, or should have known, that the goods could be diverted for military use in Japan.
C. Prevention of Third-Country Circumvention (Secondary Boycott Risk)
The Notice also explicitly states, "no organization or individual in any country or region shall provide Chinese-origin dual-use items to the Japanese side in violation of these regulations." If a third-country enterprise imports materials from China and re-exports them to a Japanese defense contractor, the Chinese government may designate that enterprise as an "Unreliable Entity" (blacklist) and impose corresponding restrictive measures.
4. Licensing and Official Inquiry Procedures (Step-by-Step)
The first step in the export process is "Accurate Classification." Procedures differ depending on whether the control status is clear or ambiguous.
[Preliminary Stage] Classification and Official Inquiry
- Case A—Clearly Controlled: Proceed immediately to the Main Stage (License Application).
- Case B—Ambiguous Status (Official Inquiry): This applies to "Gray Zone" items where specifications border the control threshold (e.g., extremely low rare earth content or high degree of processing). Arbitrary judgment carries the risk of smuggling allegations. Therefore, it is imperative to submit an official inquiry to MOFCOM through the Chinese partner to secure a written interpretation stating "Not Subject to Control."
[Main Stage] Export License Application
- Step 1) Documentation (Foreign Importer): Provide the Chinese exporter with an End-User and End-Use Certificate (EUC). It is crucial to specifically describe the final application to prove "Civil Use."
- Step 2) System Submission (Chinese Exporter): The exporter submits the application via the MOFCOM unified platform.
- Step 3) Agency Review: Typically takes 45 working days, but cases involving national security may be delayed indefinitely.
- Step 4) Issuance and Customs Clearance: Upon approval, a license is issued, serving as the basis for customs (GACC) clearance.
5. Risk Mitigation and Practical Strategies for Foreign Enterprises
A. Precise Diagnosis and Utilization of Official Inquiries
- Classification beyond HS Codes: HS Code verification alone is insufficient. Exporters should conduct a comprehensive bill of materials (BOM) review, examining chemical composition (including CAS numbers), purity levels, and relevant physical properties against the applicable control specifications.
- Key compliance measure: Where any uncertainty exists regarding control status, exporters should refrain from unilateral determinations and instead obtain a formal “Non-Control Confirmation” through the official inquiry mechanism. Such confirmation can function as an important legal safeguard in the event of subsequent enforcement actions or disputes.
B. Auditing the Business Value Chain Involving Japan
- Exports from Chinese Subsidiaries: Even if the Japanese counterparty is a civilian entity, if there is any suspicion of military connection, rejection is highly likely.
- Re-export Risks via Headquarters/Third Countries: If a foreign enterprise imports Chinese materials and re-exports them to Japan after processing in a third country, China may view this as circumvention. Discrepancies between the final destination stated in the EUC and the actual distribution channel can lead to blacklisting.
C. Integrity of End-Use Certification (EUC)
- Chinese authorities may request information on 2nd-tier vendors and final customers. Prepare a compromise strategy that protects trade secrets (e.g., using initials for customer names) while providing detailed descriptions of the industry and usage.
- For shipments destined for Japan, obtain and present robust documentation from the Japanese end-user proving "Non-Military / Civil Use."
D. Refinement of Force Majeure Clauses
- Update contracts to explicitly include "Enactment or amendment of laws," "Administrative orders," and "Trade sanctions and countermeasures" as Force Majeure events.
- To protect against indefinite delays without formal rejection (De Facto Ban), include a clause deeming delays exceeding a reasonable period (e.g., 90 days) as a Force Majeure event.
Conclusion
China’s expanded export control regime, highlighted by the January 2026 measures against Japan, reflects a shift from technical export administration to strategic regulatory leverage. These developments significantly heighten compliance, supply chain, and contractual risks for global enterprises with China-linked operations, particularly where dual-use items, re-exports, or Japan-related transactions are involved. Effective risk management now requires substantive technical analysis and proactive regulatory engagement rather than reliance on formal classifications alone. In light of the complexity and enforcement exposure, interested parties and affected stakeholders must consult experienced legal and compliance professionals when assessing transactions and structuring cross-border operations.